Fantasy Value Meter: Diamondbacks

17. March 2013  - Published by Dan Clasgens

Undervalued – 3B/OF Martin Prado: Prado has been one of the most consistent producers at the plate in recent years, but was largely overlooked in the offseason trade that landed young star outfielder Justin Upton in Atlanta. The versatile veteran is eligible at third base and left field in nearly every league and even able to be used at second base and shortstop in some formats.  His 112th overall ADP number is a bit perplexing given his multi-position usage and the fact he’s hit .300 or above in four of five seasons. He will give you a double-digit production in homers and steals and should also provide a ton of runs.

Overvalued – SP Ian Kennedy: The Arizona ace followed up a stellar 2011 campaign with a less than stellar season a year ago. He still managed to win 15 games, but he saw his WHIP rise to 1.30 from 1.08 and his ERA balloon from 2.88 in ’11 to 4.02 in ’12.  While an elevated BABIP hurt his overall numbers, it appears as if his numbers last year and more of what owners expect. He may be the Diamondback’s No. 1 starter, but if he is anything more than your team’s No. 4 fantasy starter you will be left disappointed.

Sleeper – OF Adam Eaton: The 24-year old made the most of his cup of coffee last season when he played 22 games for the Diamondbacks. He possesses great plate discipline and elite speed. He batted .375/.456/.523 with seven home runs, 48 RBI and 44 stolen bases in 130 games last year between Double-A Mobile and Triple-A Reno before coming up. Eaton may not provide the power burst you look for in an outfielder, but he should make up for with average, runs and steals. The D-Back should provide great mid-round value and be a target of keeper league owners.

Bust – SP Brandon McCarthy
: McCarthy makes the move from the AL to NL which is usually a good sign for a fantasy pitcher, but in this scenario that may not prove to be the case. Going from playing in a pitching-friendly environment to the hitter’s haven that is Chase Ballpark is a downgrade. Add to the fact that McCarthy has never been a big contributor in the strikeout category and he’s a pitcher that should be avoided.

Fantasy Baseball, MLB , , , , ,

Best Game Sevens

17. June 2010  - Published by Dan Clasgens

from BleacherReport.com...

A look at the best Game Sevens since 1990 (all sports)

3. 1997—Marlins 3, Indians 2, 11 inn.
Cleveland's heartbreak continues. Jose Mesa blows a one-run lead in the ninth, then Edgar Renteria's 11th inning single scores Craig Counsell, paving the way for the Florida fire sale.  

2. 1991—Twins 1, Braves 0, 10 inn. 
Nine innings isn't not enough for either side to notch a run on the scoreboard. The Twins' Jack Morris pitches 10 scoreless innings, then Gene Larkin finally breaks through with the title-winning hit and game's only RBI.  

1. 2001- Diamondbacks 3, Yankees 2
It's the night the Yankees' dynasty ended in the desert. The seemingly invincible Mariano Rivera looks mortal, giving up the game-winning bloop hit to Luis Gonzalez... and it's a fall classic finishing in November.

COMPLETE ARTILCE

MLB, NBA , , ,

Fantasy Baseball: Trade Analysis

16. April 2008  - Published by Jim Humbert

A GetSports reader named Brian has recently been offered Mark Reynolds for Justin Upton in his fantasy league and has requested our thoughts on the deal. First, we have to assume that Brian plays in a traditional 5x5 Roto league with 10 or 12 teams. If the scoring categories are different and include, say, slugging percentage or strikeouts then things may change. So let’s just stay with the basics. 

Secondly, we have to look at position eligibility. Reynolds has slightly more value at third base than Upton in the outfield. However, it is doubtful that either was drafted as a centerpiece of the team and both are likely to fill secondary positions. 

Both of these young players have little experience and tremendous upside for a good ballclub. And both are off to a very good start. It is very likely that at some point in the season Reynolds and Upton will struggle, but of course that is something that is impossible to determine. The best we can do is look at the numbers in front of us, from the minors and the majors. 

Mark Reynolds has more power potential than Justin Upton. He hit 31 bombs two years ago in the minors. Last season he had 17 HRs for the D-Backs in just 366 at bats. With five blasts already this year, 25 for the season is a reasonable possibility to go along with 70 to 80 RBI and an average in the .275 range. 

Justin Upton may not hit as many home runs, but he may actually end up not too far behind Reynolds. Although he had just two in 140 at bats with Arizona last season, he had 18 home runs in the minors. Like Reynolds he already has five bombs this year and he could easily finish near 20 on the season with RBI totals to match. The .221 average he posted in 2007 looks quite ugly but he hit .319 in the minors last year. 

Upton also has one more thing that Reynolds lacks – speed. Upton had 19 stolen bases last season compared to just two for Reynolds. Both may actually run a lot on a team that always seems to have the green light but Upton has the clear edge. 

So Brian, it is of my opinion that unless you are hurting to fill the third base position, you should probably hold on to Upton. He still has good power, should provide nearly the same RBI and batting average plus give you a fair amount of stolen bases.

Fantasy Baseball , ,