With the Reds' season starting on Monday, it's time for my annual overs/unders. My partner Greg Shoemaker and myself came up with these props...
--Team: Total Wins = 82 (My Bet - Over)
It's been 8+ straight losing seasons for the Reds and while I don't expect them to keep up with the Cubs, I am officially on the record with a 84-78 record which would end the streak.
--Volquez: Total Strikeouts = 208 (Over)
He struckout 206 last year and while I think he may be hard-pressed to match his 17 wins, I expect very similar strikeout production.
--Harang: Total Wins = 15 (Under)
After winning 16 games in back-to-back seasons, Harang posted a career-worst 6-17 mark in '08. He'll get back to the winning side of the ledger, but fall just short of 15 wins.
--Bailey: Games Started = 17 (Over)
I can't picture a scenario where Homer Bailey is with the big league club at least for half of the season. He's pitched good enough in the spring to own it.
--Cueto: Innings Pitched = 186 (Under)
He nearly got here last season and an expected jump is unreasonable. He's still young though and the Reds will probably not push him to hard.
--Arroyo: ERA = 4.03 (Under)
The back of the baseball card does not lie. Arroyo's career ERA is 4.31. Only once did he go under this total as Red, but after the strong finish last season I am optimistic.
--Cordero: Total Saves = 35 (Over)
The only thing that stops him from getting here is his health (there have been concerns). He's making too much not to get the ball.
--Bruce: Total HR’s = 25 (Under)
He's definitely of capable of crushing this number, but I'm not banking on this season. I say he finishes with about 22-24 long balls.
--Phillips: Total RBI’s = 90 (Over)
Firmly entrenched in the No. 4 spot in the lineup, BP will be counted on to drive in runs. He'll make a run at 100 RBI's if the people in front of him do their jobs.
--Votto: Batting Average = .290 (Under)
I am looking for him to deliver the power numbers, especially with the protection of Phillips batting behind him. Still, his average is likely to fall somewhere in the .280's.
--Gonzalez: Games Played = 81 (Over)
This might be my biggest stretch on here considering his track record as a Red, but if he can't play half of the games he needs to hang it up after this year.
--Taveras: Total Runs = 86 (Under)
One of my keys for the Reds this year will be the number of runs scored by the team's new leadoff hitter. I hope I'm wrong here, but 80ish is more like it.
--Encarnacion: Errors = 20 (Under)
This number is way too high. Edwin is making strides at third and while he will have his share of booted balls, he won't eclipse this mark.