Well Week 1 is in the books and boy what a head scratcher it was. So many stud players flopped and so many undervalued guys overperformed. Here's the list of those to lock in and lock out in Week 2.
Mike Vick @ DET: Simply put, Mike Vick looked like someone was controlling him in a game of Madden circa 2004. When he came in for the injured Kevin Kolb he looked young, fresh and FAST. This week he gets the start and gets the Detroit Lions. The Lions d-line is much improved, but they better contain Vick in the pocket or he's going to shred them. Either way, count Vick for top 10 production this week between rushing and passing.
Jay Cutler @ DAL: I have not been shy about my general dislike and disbelief in Cutler. But after he put up 372 passing yards (albeit against Detroit, see above), I cannot justify benching Cutler for any reason. Do not expect the gawdy numbers of last week, but go ahead and expect a couple more TD passes and about 250 yards, even against a good Dallas defense.
Matt Cassel @ CLE: The Chiefs surprised everyone with a win over San Diego last week. They ran the ball well but didn't overly impress in the passing game. I saw a lot that I liked from Romeo Crennel's offensive schemes and I think this a sweet match up for Cassel to finally explode. He can't do that without targeting Dwayne Bowe more (who only had one pass thrown his way). Put 200+ yards and a couple of TDs in the books for Cassel.
Ahmad Bradshaw @ IND: You did see what Arian Foster did to the Colts didn't you? Combine that with what Bradshaw did to a very good Carolina defense and you have a great match up. Bradshaw is a top 5 RB this week.
Jamaal Charles @ CLE: How good did Charles look on a 50-yard TD run against San Diego on Monday? Enough to show me that he's worth a start this week against a much worse defense in the Cleveland Browns. Lock Charles in with confidence!
Ryan Matthews vs. JAX: Matthews had a decent night against Kansas City in his NFL debut. It wasn't what most of us would've wanted. This will be the week Matthews does more and gets his first TD as a professional. Lock it in!
Legedu Naane vs. JAX: Naane had double digit targets vs. Kansas City last week. And he rewarded his owners with a nice fantasy box score. In their first home game, and with lots of love from Phillip Rivers, Naane is a very sneaky start this week.
Dwayne Bowe @ CLE: I can't really pick Cassel as a lock without expecting Bowe to rebound. And that's what I'm calling for. Bowe will get more looks and attention and will get his first 100-yard game of the year. That's a lock!
Derrick Mason @ CIN: I would put TJ Houshmanzadeh in this area as well. Whichever of these two is fortunate enough to get to run the middle routes and stay away from the Bengals corners will produce huge fantasy numbers. Simply put, the Bengals linebackers look lost in pass coverage and both Housh and Mason are savvy vets who know how to get open. Look for Joe Flacco to find his dump offs in Mason (who always does well against the Bengals) and Housh.
Zach Miller vs. STL: Miller is a top 5 tight end this week. I would even think about him in leagues where you can start a tight end in a flex spot. Look for double-digit targets for Miller and a score. Lock!
Todd Heap @ CIN: As mentioned, the Bengals are very vulnerable up the middle where Todd Heap patrols. He looked good against a vicious Jets defense, so he should be able to exploit a much softer Bengals defense. This is the week to lock Heap into your lineup because most other weeks he's not worth it.
Carson Palmer vs. BAL: Palmer looked good from a fantasy perspective last week with a 350-yard, 2-TD performance. Don't expect anywhere close to that this week. This will be a low scoring affair, although I do believe that Palmer, unlike Mark Sanchez should test the Ravens secondary with some passes down the field.
Tom Brady @ NYJ: A bold, bold move for sure. But the Jets defense just won't yield a lot of points. There is talk of Revis being injured and if he doesn't play, then all bets are off. But otherwise, expect very pedestrian numbers from Justin Bieber's stand in.
Derek Anderson @ ATL: The Falcons defense, barring one lapse, looked very impressive. This week a much weaker opponent comes to town. Anderson is NOT a good quarterback. He misses his targets and locks onto his receivers. He will not do much this week.
Chris Johnson vs. PIT: I own Chris Johnson and I'm not following my own advice here, but it's really because my options aren't better, but if you own CJ and have a Ryan Matthews or a Jamaal Charles and even a Jonathon Stewart, then I lock CJ out. The last time he played the Steelers, he garnered all of 54 yards and no TD. Expect similar numbers from him this week (and I HOPE I'm wrong).
Jahvid Best vs. PHI: Yes Best scored twice last week, making him a good start. But look closer at his numbers. He averaged all of 1.7 yards per carry. You can't always count on those touchdowns and this week the match up is much tougher. So no pay dirt for Best and thus it's Best to lock him out.
Ronnie Brown @ MIN: If Adrian Peterson couldn't garner much against the Williams boys up the middle, there's no way Brown can, especially in the dome with those annoying Viking horns blowing. What can Brown do for you? Not much, so lock him out this week.
Randy Moss @ NYJ: Again, how can I say Brady shouldn't be started without including his SECOND best receiver. Moss will be stranded on Revis Island and in two trips there last year, Randy had all of 57 total yards (that's for two games). So yeah, remember his week 1 performance? Be ready for a repeat performance. This time, don't get fooled and lock him out.
Mark Clayton @ OAK: The waiver wire pickup du jour is not a good start this week. Kudos on snagging the #1 receiver for the Rams (for what that's worth) and kudos for having someone who was targeted 18 times last week. Clayton may make an appearance on the lock in portion in future weeks, but this week, he gets Nnamdi Asoumgha (aka the second best CB in football). Clayton is not good enough to get out from under that blanket.
Larry Fitzgerald @ ATL: You can see the frustration mounting in Fitzgerald. He misses Kurt Warner, and can you blame him. Fitz is your go-to guy, your WR1, your first receiver taken. Sorry about your luck as until the QB situation shows an improvement, I lsoe a lot of confidence in Fitz.
Owen Daniels @ WAS: The Texan tight end does not look healthy yet. He has not shown the ability to get open and until he starts showing glimpses of his pre-injury self, lock him out.
Jason Witten vs. CHI: I have Witten in one of my leagues and I AM practicing what I preach here. Witten is on my bench this week after getting hardly any targets and had to stay back and block for the putrid Cowboy o-line. He will be asked to block more this week and that's bad news, unless you're in some bizarre league that rewards you for blocking.