Undervalued – C J.P. Arencibia: The Blue Jays’ backstop isn’t going to help fantasy team’s with his average, but there is enough power there to make him a nice low-end catcher option. Despite missing nearly a month of action with a broken hand Arencibia still managed to hit 18 HR and drive in 56 runs in his 102 games a year ago. While catcher is still a thin position in fantasy, there are some low-end options with upside and the 27-year old tops our list.
Overvalued – SP R.A. Dickey: Dickey’s breakout campaign in 2012 was preceded by two solid seasons in 2010 and 2011, but now he’s moving from the NL East to the AL East. Coming of a Cy Young effort the knuckleballer will be valued at all-time high on draft day. Expect him to continue to produce decent ERA and WHIP numbers. However, a bit a dip should be expected especially on his 230 K’s he yielded a year ago. Dickey is a nice option for any fantasy rotation, we just expect him to go a bit earlier than he should based of last year’s career efforts.
Sleeper – SP Ricky Romero: After three solid seasons, Romero struggled mightily in 2012. It’s hard to put a finger on what was the cause of his woes a year ago. He watched his BABIP go from .242 to .311 and his first-pitch strike average drop to 53.3 percent. However, his groundball rate was a solid 53.3 percent which should spell good things with an improved middle infield defense with Jose Reyes and Maicer Izturis. Expect Romero to have a bounce-back campaign and pay dividends for owners that take a stab late with him late on draft day.
Bust – SP Mark Buehrle: The veteran’s low-strikeout rate has always limited his fantasy upside and now he’s starting to show signs of decline. He was unimpressive last year in his move to the NL where he posted a 4.45 ERA and allowed 16 HR’s away from the friendly confines of the spacious Marlin’s ballpark. His fastball tops out at 85 MPH these days too and all of that combined should leaves owners weary of his move to the AL East.
Fantasy Baseball, MLB