Reds Lose Votto For Month

16. July 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

On the heels of a sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals are riding a six-game winning streak, the Cincinnati Reds got some bad news on Monday as All-Star first basemen Joey Votto was placed  on the 15-day DL due to a torn meniscus in his left knee.

Votto had surgery on Tuesday and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks.  Signs of the injury first surfaced in late June as the team was on an 11-game West Coast road trip. However, Votto tried to play through it and even participated in All-Star game festivities.

The Reds would’ve been better served to get the MRI done and put him on the shelf when the injury first occurred on June 29 in San Francisco. That was 17 days before the team put him on the DL on Monday.

Consider since the injury Votto has struggled going 9 for 35, .257, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 6 BB, .381 OBP.  It is puzzling that the team waited this long for an MRI.  Had they done so immediately they may have been able to shut him down then and have him back in 7-10 days.

Todd Frazier was plugged in at first base on Monday, Votto’s first game out of lineup. The rookie has had a decent bat, but has limited big league experience at the position. Assuming he gets most of the time there, veteran Scott Rolen will need to pick thing up at third base and avoid injuries himself.

The only other option on the big league roster at this point is Miguel Cairo and the veteran has done little this year to boast the confidence of manager Dusty Baker.

The Reds are one game up in a tight NL Central race and they want to stay there GM Walt Jocketty is likely going to have to make a move to add a corner infielder. The team needs some depth on its bench anyway so now is the time to strike.

Three players that make sense for the Reds to pursue include Padres OF/1B Mark Kotsay, Cubs 1B/OF Byran LeHair and Phillies 1B/3B Ty Wigginton.

Kotsay, 36, is likely the best option. He has a .289/.335/.410 batting line in 84 plate appearances and a salary of just $1.25 million. The left-handed hitter could provide the Reds with late-game flexibility at a reasonable cost.

One thing that favors the Reds is their schedule over the next few weeks as 23 of 29 games come against teams that currently boast a losing record:

3 – ARZ
3 – MIL
3 – at Hou
3 – at Col
4 – SD
3 – PIT
3 – at Mil
4 – at ChC
3 – NYM

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Reds: Third Base Woes

23. April 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

The Reds offense is struggling right now from top to bottom, but few are struggling as bad as 37-year old Scott Rolen.

Through 16 games Rolen is batting just .170 with .226 SLG and a .228 OBP. His bat speed is noticeably slower and his power has disappeared. He’s yet to hit a HR this season and has just five long balls in 81 games dating back to Opening Day 2011.

While he did play a key role, at least early in the season, during the team’s 2010 divisional title run, the veteran has been a non-factor since.

Even his defense is on the decline as he’s already committed two errors this season.

The problem is two-fold. For starters he’s making $8.1 million this year, the final year of his current contract. Secondly, the team has few options to replace.  Veteran Miguel Cairo (hamstring) is on the 15-day DL and Todd Frazier is unproven.

To make matters worse the two hot corners the Reds pushed aside in favor of Rolen, Edwin Encarnacion (traded to Toronto for Rolen) and Juan Francisco are tearing it up right now:

JUAN FRANCISCO
.286 BA, .714 SLG, .310 OBP (3 HR, 7 RBI in 28 at bats)

EDWIN ENCARNACION
.323 BA, .613 SLG, .368 OBP (4 HR, 13 RBI in 65 at bats)

Clearly the Reds and Walt Jocketty’s plan at the position has backfired a bit and now the team is left with a huge gap in both the batting order and on the left side of the infield. The question now becomes how much longer will Dusty Baker continue to run Rolen out there or better yet how much longer before Rolen does what he should’ve done before the season, retire?

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Reds: Salary Outlook

10. August 2011  - Published by Dan Clasgens

Some good stuff from Lance McAlister's blog...

Consider some of the dollars the Reds committed have over the next couple of years. This does not factor in arbitration dollars for guys like Stubbs, Bailey, Leake, Bray, Ondrusek and Volquez over next couple years.


Offseason signings
Arroyo: '11 $6.5M, '12 $7m, '13 6.5M
Cueto: '11 $3.4M, '12 $5.4M, '13 $7.4M, '14 $10M, '15 $10M*
Bruce: '11 $2.75 M, '12 $5M, '13 $7.5M, '14 $10M, '15 $12M, '16 $12.5M, '17 $13M*
Votto: '11 $5.5M, '12 $9.5M, '13 $17M
(*team option)


2011:
Cordero $12M
Phillips $11M
Votto $5.5M
Arroyo $6.5M
Rolen $6.5M
Cueto $3.4M
Hernandez $3M
Bruce $2.75M
Chapman $1M
That's 9 players making $51.6M in '11, representing 64% of '11 payroll ($80.8)


2012:
Phillips $12M (If option picked up)
Votto $9.5M
Arroyo $7M
Rolen $6.5M
Cueto $5.4M
Bruce $5M
Chapman $2M
(Minus)Cordero $12M, Hernandez $3M
That's 7 players at $47.4M in '12, representing 61% of their '11 payroll ($80.8M)


2013:

Votto $17M
Cueto $10M
Bruce $7.5M
Arroyo $6.5M
Hanigan $2M
Chapman $2M
(Minus) Rolen $6.5M, Phillips $12M
That's 6 players at $45M in '13, representing 56% of their '11 payroll ($80.8M)

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Rolen Should Consider Retiring

3. August 2011  - Published by Dan Clasgens

News came today that Cincinnati Reds’ third basemen Scott Rolen will miss 4-6 weeks after having arthroscopic surgery on his left shoulder.

The veteran has been on the disabled list since July 21 with a strained left shoulder. It’s the same shoulder that cost him a trip to the DL back in April and it has plagued him most of the season.

Rolen is hitting just .242/.279/.379 with five homers and .676 OPS over 269 plate appearances this season. It could be early or mid-September before he returns to the lineup, if at all. Miguel Cairo should see the majority of the starts during his absence while sharing time with rookie Todd Frazier, but Juan Francisco could be a possibility once he is recovered from a knee injury.

MY TAKE: After managing to play in 133 games last season for the Reds, the 36-year old has seen action in just 65 contests in 2011. Assuming he doesn’t return this season, Rolen will finish the year averaging just 107 games over the past seven years. As much as I like his presence in the clubhouse and respect the career he’s had it may be time for him to hang up the cleats.

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Reds: First Quarter Report Card

17. May 2011  - Published by Dan Clasgens

We are 41 games into the Reds’ 2011 season and it’s time to hand out some grades

DUSTY BAKER (B+) – It’s hard to criticize Baker too much, but he fails to get an A for his over patience with Jonny Gomes and his failure to force his hand and get Edgar Renteria to budge off playing shortstop.

JOEY VOTTO (A-) – The defending MVP is currently tied for second in the NL with a .345 BA and has reached base it all but one game in which he’s played. His power numbers are a bit down though as he’s only mustered 5 HR and 23 RBI, but his walk rate is up (leads NL with 5 IBB).

BRANDON PHILLIPS (A) – Phillips has dazzled with his glove and his bat and adapted to wherever Baker has slotted him in the order. His team-leading 26 RBI put the Gold Glover on pace for his first 100 RBI season of his career. Add to it an impressive .322 average and he’s on track for a second All-Star game appearance.

SCOTT ROLEN (C+) – Limited to just 21 games due to a right shoulder injury, Rolen has a small sample size to consider. He got out of the gate slowly, but since his return to the lineup last Friday he’s had nine hits over four games and has his average up .273. His glove has been a bigger concern as he’s already has four errors after just committing eight during his Gold Glove 2010 campaign.

PAUL JANISH (C) – His glove and versatility has never been questioned and both attributes have proven to be assets to this point of the season. His bat continues to be another story. Janish has had some good moments throughout the year, but over the opening stretch of the year he’s batting just .250 while getting just two hits over his last 25 at bats.

JONNY GOMES (F) – If we were grading clubhouse and fan popularity or bad haircuts, Gomes would be at the top of the list, but on the field he is below the pack. He has 7 HR, but went over a month without one. He has gone without a hit in 18 of his 37 games and is boasting a 38-to-22 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Gomes hands down is the worst defender on the team and it’s not even close.

DREW STUBBS (B+) – Stubbs is on pace for career marks across and is currently hitting .281. He covers as much ground as any centerfielder in the National League and has a strong arm to boot. His strikeout rate is still high, but improving and Stubbs appears to becoming more comfortable in the leadoff spot and currently reached base at least twice in nine straight games.

JAY BRUCE (C+) – Fresh off signing a big, long-term contract, Bruce is still trying to get things going at the plate. He has homered three times over the last 10 games, but had some terrible at bats and struggles in April. His defensive prowess is a plus, though he has made a few bad judgments in right field.

RAMON HERNANDEZ/RYAN HANIGAN (A-) – Catcher remains the most underrated and non-talked about position on the team. The Hernandez-Hanigan platoon has been lethal. Both players have handled the staff well and held would-be base runners down. Throw in the dramatic homeruns delivered by each and they are even better. Since the start of last season Reds catchers are ranked second in the majors in RBIs (116), first in batting average (.301), second in OBP (.376) and third in slugging (.446).

BENCH (B+) – Chris Heisey continues to be an under-used weapon, but he’s made the most of his playing time and been invaluable as a pinch hitter and late-inning defensive replacement. Miguel Cairo filled in nicely for Rolen when he was out. Renteria and Fred Lewis appear to be nice veteran free agent additions.

EDINSON VOLQUEZ (F) – Volquez has made just six innings in two of his eight starts this season and has walked an alarming 33 batters in 42 1/3 innings. His 5.74 ERA indicates that his record should be much worse than the 3-1 mark would indicate. With an abundance of pitching depth, Volquez will be on a short leash to work out his issues at the major-league level.

BRONSON ARROYO (B-) – Consistency has always been Arroyo’s staple and to this point of the season 2011 appears to be no different. He hasn’t had many stellar outings, but has yet to get roped either. He has a 36/12 strikeout-to-walk ratio and is 3-3 with a 3.78 ERA through eight starts.

TRAVIS WOOD (C+) – After going 0-3 with an 8.39 ERA in his first five trips to the hill, the Reds’ lone lefty in the rotation has gone 2-0 with a 1.93 mark over his last three outings. He still has some work to do before getting his stats back down, but it appears as if his spot in the rotation is safe for now.

JOHNNY CUETO (Incomplete) – Cueto started the year on the DL, but going off his two starts the marks are high. He has yet to yield an earned run in 12 1/3 innings of work and has finished in the winning column each time out in wins over the Cubs and Cardinals.

HOMER BAILEY (Incomplete) – The right hander has a 1.89 ERA and is 3-0 since returning from the DL. It’s a bit early to get too excited, especially considering two starts came against the lowly Astros, but the team has reason for optimism based off the early returns.

FRANCISCO COREDERO (A-) – Easily the most criticized Red, Cordero has been fantastic through the first quarter of the season. The veteran hasn’t allowed a run over his last five appearances, picking up a three saves and a win during that span while sporting a 1.86 ERA for the year.

BULLPEN (B-) Logan Ondrusek and Bill Bray have been outstanding in middle relief. Nick Masset is starting to find a groove after a rough start. Sam LeCure has transitioned nicely moving from the rotation to the pen. Aroldis Chapman struggles and Matt Maloney’s terrible April drag down the unit’s overall grade though.

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Reds: Wire to Wire, Part II?

3. April 2011  - Published by Dan Clasgens

After watching the Reds complete the sweep of the Brewers and seeing the Cardinals get out to a slow start it’s hard not to start thinking Wire to Wire.

Of course, the 1990 Cincinnati Reds were the first team to accomplish that feat over a 162-game schedule so we all know it has been done before.

I’m not sold on the Brewers as being a true contender.  Despite their poor start and a mounting list of injuries, the Cardinals will remain the top contention for the Reds inside the division until proven otherwise.

Here were five things that stuck out from the team’s opening weekend to me...

DEFENSE - The Reds had it and the Brewers didn’t. The box scores will only show that Milwaukee made two errors to the Reds’ one miscue, but while Cincinnati’s infield fields the ball as smooth as silk the Brewers struggled mightily. How many runs did Casey McGehee cost his team in this series? Scott Rolen may have more than a decade on him, but his glove is far superior.

CATCHER PLAY – Not even the great Johnny Bench ever produced a three-game series stat line that the Reds’ backstops delivered in the opening weekend. Ryan Hannigan followed up Ramon Hernandez 4-for-5, walkoff homerun performance in the first game by 5-for-7 with a pair of homeruns (both on Sunday) and 4 RBI over the next two.

STUBBS PRIMED – Early on Drew Stubbs is living up to some of his off-season hype.  The centerfielder kicked off his sophomore campaign by finishing the weekend with a .455 average, 1 HR, 3 RBI, and 1.538 OPS. He has struck out once in each game, but has drawn a pair of walks. If he can produce like that at the top of the order there’s no telling how many runs this team is capable of scoring.

WOOD IS THE ACE – Edinson Volquez may have gotten the Opening Day start and Bronson Arroyo the big new contract, but rest assured Travis Wood is the ace of this staff. His performance Saturday night was nothing short of brilliant as he went seven innings while allowing just one run on four hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter. He retired the first 11 batters and used just 83 pitches (66 strikes) to get thru seven.

CRAZY CORDERO
– After blowing eight saves a year ago and finishing the season shaky, veteran closer Francisco Cordero didn’t do much to evoke confidence. He picked up his first save of the year on Saturday night, ceding one run on two hits before finishing out the ninth inning. With Aroldis Chapman and his 105 MPH fastball waiting in the wings, Cordero will be on a short leash.

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Reds: Season Prop Bets

30. March 2011  - Published by Dan Clasgens

Joey Votto BA
Over/Under .314

Joey Votto Total HR's

Over/Under 33.5

Joey Votto Total RBI's
Over/Under 107

Brandon Phillips Total RBI's
Over/Under 70.5

Scott Rolen Total HR's
Over/Under 17.5

Jay Bruce Total HR's
Over/Under 29

Johnny Gomes Total RBI's
Over/Under 67.5

Edinson Volquez Total Wins

Over/Under 14

Johnny Cueto Total Wins
Over/Under 13

Bronson Arroyo Total Wins
Over/Under 15

Total Saves Francisco Cordero

Over/Under 36


NL CENTRAL (regular season wins)
Chicago Cubs - Over/Under 81 ½

Cincinnati Reds - Over/Under 85

Houston Astros - Over/Under 71 ½

Milwaukee Brewers - Over/Under 85 ½

Pittsburgh Pirates - Over / Under 67 ½

St. Louis Cardinals - Over/Under 83 ½


(*odds from BoDog.com)

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Three Reds Receive Gold Gloves

10. November 2010  - Published by Dan Clasgens

Cincinnati Reds third baseman Scott Rolen, second baseman Brandon Phillips and pitcher Bronson Arroyo have been named winners of the National League Gold Glove Award for their positions.

Rolen won his eighth award, third-most among all players at his position behind only Hall of Famers Brooks Robinson (16) and Mike Schmidt (10). Phillips was honored for the second time (2008), while Arroyo was a first-time winner.

In 2010, Reds defenders recorded a team-record .988 fielding percentage. Their 72 errors tied for the fewest in the National League.

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Reds: Bats Cooling Off

13. August 2010  - Published by Dan Clasgens

The Reds' offense was non-existent versus the Cardinals as the team got swept out of first place. However, as Lance McAlister points out on his blog the slump goes on much longer than that for many of the players in the lineup:

Jonny Gomes
Since June 12: .231 BA/.281 OBP/ .621 OPS, 4 HR, 19 RBI in 50 games
Since July 19 and career HR #99: .206 BA, 0 HR, 2 RBI in 19 games

Scott Rolen
Last 9 games: 0 HR, 0 RBI, .188 BA/.235 OBP
Last 23 games: 1 HR, 9 RBI

Jay Bruce
Since HR June 30 to beat Phils: .203 BA/.261 OBP/.521 OPS, 0 HR, 7 RBI in 123 AB's/35 games

Brandon Phillips
Since July 1: .219 BA/.263 OBP in 34 games

If the Reds are going to contend the pitching can only take them so far. These regulars will need to contribute at the plate.

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Reds: Keys To Making Playoffs

16. July 2010  - Published by Dan Clasgens

The Cincinnati Reds kick off the second half of the season Friday as they host the Colorado Rockies. The team starts the weekend up a ½ a game in the N.L. Central over the St. Louis Cardinals. If the Reds are going to finish on top they will need the following factors to take shape:

STAY HEALTHY
To this point of the season the Reds have fared fairly well on the injury front. Veterans Scott Rolen (back) and Ramon Hernandez (knee) have had issues with durability over the past few years and have already had issues this season. Both will need to stay healthy down the stretch for the team to succeed. Also keeping other key cogs like Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips healthy is critical.

DON’T BE SATISFIED
The club made a move to acquire ace Cliff Lee, but lost out to the Texas Rangers. General Manager Walt Jocketty needs to stay aggressive in his effort to improving the roster. Adding depth in the outfield, another corner infielder, and some arms to the bullpen could all go a long way towards securing the Reds’ place in the postseason.

BEAT TEAMS YOUR SUPPOSE TO
No playoff contender in Major Baseball has an easier schedule than the Reds do. They will need to beat the teams they are supposed to. That could be easier said than done though. Consider the Reds have already been swept by the likes of the Pirates and Mariners this season.

WIN OUT WEST
Historically the Reds have struggled out West and they will have to buck that trend once again with a 9-game, 10-day trip to the Left Coast in mid-August. The team must survive three-game series at Arizona, Los Angeles, and San Francisco if they are going to stay in the race this year.

GOOD RELIEF
The bullpen has been inconsistent all season and has gone through several makeovers already. As the team’s young arms begin to tire out down the stretch the bullpen will need to step up. Arthur Rhodes will need to continue to serve as the anchor and closer Francisco Cordero must snap out of his funk. With depth in its rotation and the possibility of trades, expect this situation to continue to evolve.

OVERCOME INEXPERIENCE
While there are a few proven veterans on the team with playoff experience, most of the Reds’ primary contributors are young and have never enjoyed winning at the Major League level. Some of the team’s stars like Votto and Phillips will need shine with the spotlight shining down.

IN DUSTY WE TRUSTY
Manager Dusty Baker remains unsigned pass this season and continues to be criticized by fans and media alike. However, as long as he keeps his team behind him that is all that matters. The veteran manager knows how to win and will need not to over think situations or let his contract status add extra pressure to his decisions.

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