I have never been a fan of having my fantasy running back play for a bad NFL team.
It makes sense if you think about it. Bad teams typically are playing from behind and therefore rushing opportunities are generally limited.
History has certainly indicated that my concerns are validated. Entering this season only 19 running backs (19 percent) have finished as a top 10 fantasy runner while playing for a NFL team that finished below .500. Here's a year-by-year look at the precious few.
2008: Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars (5-11), 8th
2007: Willis McGahee, Ravens (5-11), 8th
2007: Frank Gore, 49ers (5-11), 9th
2006: Frank Gore, 49ers (7-9), 4th
2005: LaMont Jordan, Raiders (4-12 ), 8th
2004: Tiki Barber, Giants (6-10), 2nd
2004: Domanick Davis, Texans (7-9), 5th
2003: LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers (4-12), 3rd
2003: Fred Taylor, Jaguars (5-11), 8th
2002: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks (7-9), 5th
2001: Priest Homes, Chiefs (6-10), 2nd
2001: Corey Dillon, Bengals (6-10), 6th
2001: LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers (5-11), 7th
2001: Ricky Williams, Saints (7-9), 8th
2000: Fred Taylor, Jaguars (7-9), 6th
2000: Ricky Watters, Seahawks (6-10), 8th
2000: Charlie Garner, 49ers (6-10), 9th
1999: Charlie Garner, 49ers (4-12), 7th
1999: Duce Staley, Eagles (5-11), 10th
The 2009 season bucked the trend though as three of the top fantasy runners played for losing teams Maurice Jones-Drew, Ricky Williams and Steven Jackson. Throw in late-season heroics by Jammal Charles and Jerome Harrison and even more bad-team runners emerged as fantasy forces.
With the running back position in the NFL evolving and more teams using more players at the position, things are definitely changing on the fantasy landscape at running back. One constant factor with all five of the runners listed above is each of their teams didn't have a second option out of the backfield that was anything close to their skill level. It appears that more so than how good a team is isn't as important to how many chances a player gets to put up numbers. It will have an impact on my rankings as I work on my off-season cheat sheet (to be released next week).
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Fantasy Football, NFL
fantasy advice, fantasy football strategy, fantasy running backs, fantasy trends