GSI Super Bowl XLVI Picks

4. February 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

It's hard to believe after an entire year of picking games that it all comes down to this one final game. After picking all season I have nailed the winner in 61 percent of every NFL game, but still am about $30 down against the spread. That means it's time to let it all hang out for the big game.

PREDICTION
GIANTS - 31
PATRIOTS - 20

BETS
$110 - Giants +2.5

$50 (2-Team Parlay) - Giants/Under

$10 Prop Bets on (I always go for value)...

  • Will Chad Ochocinco have a catch (YES +130)
  • Total Number of Different Patriots to Score (Under 3.5 +150)
  • First TD scored (Mario Manningham 12/1)
  • First TD scored (Deion Branch 12/1)
  • Alternate Point Spread (NYG -7.5 +400)

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Super Bowl Betting Trends

3. February 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

from VegasInsider.com...

HISTORY NOT ON PATS SIDE
With the exception of the upset of St. Louis in Super Bowl XXXVI, New England is 1-4 ATS in its five Super Bowl appearances in franchise history.

OVER/UNDER
From a totals perspective, the 'under' has cashed in five of the previous seven Super Bowls, even though last year's game finished 'over' the total between the Packers and Steelers. However, with the total set at 54 for the Giants and Patriots, the 'under' has hit more often than not in Super Bowls listed at 50 or above in the totals department. Since 1990, five of seven games that closed with a total of more than 50 cashed the 'under,' including Super Bowl XLII between New York and New England (55 total, 17-14 final).

WINNERS USUALLY COVER
Picking the winner and not worrying about the points has helped bettors in the last 11 Super Bowls, with the victorious team covering the spread eight times in this stretch. The only two clubs to win the game and not cash were the Patriots (vs. Panthers and Eagles) and Steelers (vs. Cardinals) since 2001.

AFC EAST WOES
Even though the game has changed since the first Super Bowl in 1967, one number has stayed consistent regarding AFC East teams against the spread. Since the merger in 1970, AFC East clubs own a dreadful 4-11-1 ATS mark in Super Bowls.

NOT AS CLOSE AS IT APPEARS TO BE
The short line doesn't necessarily mean a close game, as seven of the last nine Super Bowls (since 1975) with a closing line between 2 and 3 ½ have resulted in a double-digit victory by the winner.

PARLAY COMBOS
Favorites have cashed in 16 of the last 22 Super Bowls, while the favorite/'over' combination has come in 10 times since 1990. The least frequent combination in this span is the underdog/'over' combo, which only hit in XXXII (Packers over the Broncos) and XXXVII (Buccaneers over the Raiders).

COMPLETE ARTILCE

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5 Reasons Giants Win

2. February 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

DEFENSIVE FRONT – There’s no questions a big part of the Giants winning six of their last seven contests has been the play of their defensive front since the unit has gotten fully healthy. The key in slowing down Tom Brady is applying pressure and New York is equipped to that as any team in the league.

RUNNING GAME – Unlike New England, the Giants’ offense is not one-dimensional. Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacbos are running on all cylinders right now and provide a perfect 1-2 punch to challenge a mediocre Patriots defense.

VICTOR CRUZ – This guy has been simply amazing. Along with Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham, Cruz has caused matchups for most defenses. With New England likely to match wide receiver turned DB Julian Edelman up against him on many snaps, Cruz could be saving his best performance for last.

ELI MANNING – Many in the Hoosier State dreamed of Manning Super Bowl in Indy and they’ve got one. Just not the one they were hoping for. Eli will have a chance to surpass his older brother Peyton in the house that he built. I couldn’t think of a better way to top off a career season.

GRONKOWSKI INJURY – The Pats’ best offensive weapon, tight end Rob Gronkowski, enters the game with an ankle injury. If he’s not able to perform at the same level in which he played at throughout his 20-touchdown season the Giants will gain a big advantage.

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5 Reasons Patriots Win

2. February 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

TWO WEEKS – There’s no question in mind that Bill Belichick is the best coach in the league as far as preparing for an opponent and coming up with customized game plan to maximize the Pats’ opportunities to expose an opponent’s weaknesses.  With the extra week to get ready for the Giants and having already been familiar with them in a Nov 6 matchup it is scary to think what the Jedi mind master comes up with for this tilt.

TOM BRADY – A win would give Brady a record 17th post-season victory and tie him for the all-time lead at quarterback with four Super Bowl rings. Need I say more?

REVENGE – Though Belichick and Brady would never admit it, the taste of the Giants beating them in Super Bowl XLII and spoiling their crack at an unblemished 19-0 season still eats at them.  Nothing would satisfy the Pats and their fans more to topple the Giants this time around.

TIGHT ENDS – The Patriots’ two-headed monster at tight end of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez have had their way with opponents all season, including combining for 12 catches, 136 yards and two touchdowns against New York last time out.

OFFENSIVE LINE – New England’s offensive line has gotten better as the year has gone on and have been key in the Pats’ prolific passing attack. The unit will need to have one of its best performances of the season if they are going to prevail on Sunday.

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Forget Tom Brady

2. February 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

Check out this hilarious video from XMRadio's Davey Mac Sports Program...

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Follow Us On Twitter, Facebook

1. February 2012  - Published by GetSports Desk

Like GetSportsInfo.com on Facebook and Follow us on Twitter...

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2012 NFL Free Agents - Offense

30. January 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

2012 free agency opens on the afternoon of March 13. Here's a look at some of the top players on offense...

QUARTERBACKS
*Drew Brees
Matt Flynn
Kyle Orton
Chad Henne
Alex Smith
Jason Campbell

RUNNING BACKS
*Ray Rice
*Matt Forte
*Michael Bush
Marshawn Lynch
Peyton Hillis
Cedric Benson
Mike Tolbert
Kevin Smith
Jason Snelling
Justin Forsett
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
Tim Hightower

WIDE RECEIVERS
Vincent Jackson
*Dwayne Bowe
*Wes Welker
Brandon Lloyd
Marques Colston
DeSean Jackson
Stevie Johnson
Reggie Wayne
Robert Meachem
Mario Manningham
Pierre Garcon
Laurent Robinson
Braylon Edwards

TIGHT ENDS
*Jermichael Finley
Fred Davis
Martellus Bennett
John Carlson
Jacob Tamme

OFFENSIVE LINEMEN
Carl Nicks
Jared Gaither
Ben Grubbs
Evan Mathis
Chris Myers
Jeff Backus
Kareem McKenzie
Jake Scott
Chilo Rachal
Samson Satele
Bobbie Williams 

COMPLETE LIST (NFLTradeRumors.com)

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Greatest Super Bowls Ever

29. January 2012  - Published by GetSports Desk

from the GetSportsInfo.com archives...

10) New York Jets 16, Baltimore Colts, 7
January 12, 1969
Orange Bowl, Miami FL

It was the Super Bowl that started all the hype as Joe Namath guaranteed victory just days before the game. The Jets star backed his words with an MVP performance but it was the New York defense that secured the victory by intercepting the Colts three times. The game actually was not very close but the guarantee combined with the image of Namath running off the field holding up ‘number one’ has helped to make the Super Bowl what it is today.

9) San Francisco 49ers 26, Cincinnati Bengals 21
January 24, 1982
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac MI

After putting up a 20 to 0 halftime lead the 49ers held their breath as the Bengals scored 21 second half points. Quarterback Kenny Anderson was 25 of 34 with two passing touchdowns and one rushing touchdown. But it wasn’t enough as the 49ers Ray Wersching completed four field goals in the 49ers first Super Bowl win. The game marked the first time in Super Bowl history that the losing team out gained the winners in yardage (356 to 275.)

8) Baltimore Colts 16, Dallas Cowboys 13
January 17, 1971
Orange Bowl, Miami FL

The first Super Bowl played on artificial turf turned out to be quite a defensive battle. The Colts only touchdown came off of a pass that deflected off of two players including the Cowboys’ Mike Renfro. Two interceptions by the Colts led to the touchdown and the game winning field goal with only 5 seconds remaining. Chuck Howley of the Cowboys was named MVP, the first for a defensive player and the only time the award was given to a player from the losing team.

7) Pittsburgh Steelers 35, Dallas Cowboys 31
January 21, 1979
Orange Bowl, Miami FL

Quarterback Terry Bradshaw threw his fourth touchdown pass with just under 7 minutes remaining in the game. The 18-yard catch by Lynn Swan put the Steelers up 35 to 17. But the Cowboys would not give up easily. Roger Staubach led his team to two quick touchdowns thanks in large part to an onside kick. But a second attempt of an onside kick was recovered by the Steelers’ Rocky Bleier and Pittsburgh became the first team to win three Super Bowls.

6) New England Patriots 20, St. Louis Rams 17
February 3, 2002
Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans LA

The Rams out gained the Patriots by 160 yards, but the New England Defense forced three turnovers which the offense turned into 17 points. The final 3 points came at the end of the game. With 1:30 on the clock and no timeouts, Tom Brady drove his team into field goal range, setting up a 48-yard kick for Adam Vinatieiri. It was the first time in Super Bowl history that the game was decided on the last play.

5) San Francisco 49ers 20, Cincinnati Bengals 16
January 22, 1989
Joe Robbie Stadium, Miami FL

Playing for their third Super Bowl victory in eight years the 49ers found themselves losing 16 to 13 with just 3:20 remaining in the game. That was plenty of time for Joe Montana and company. The two-time Super Bowl MVP drove his team 92 yards capping off the drive with a touchdown pass to John Taylor with 34 seconds left on the clock.

4) New England Patriots 32, Carolina Panthers 29
February 1, 2004
Reliant Stadium, Houston TX

This game set two Super Bowl records that seem contradictory. The two teams took the longest amount of time before a score, nearly 27 minutes, and then combined for the most points scored in one quarter, 37 in the fourth. Carolina tied the game with 1:08 remaining but it wasn’t enough as the Patriots quickly drove the ball into field goal territory. Adam Vinatieri kicked the game winner from 41 yards out.

3) St. Louis Rams 23, Tennessee Titans 16

January 30, 2000
Georgia Dome, Atlanta GA

While the high-powered Rams offense dominated the statistics they found themselves tied at 16 points at the two-minute warning. But on the next play Kurt Warner hooked up with Isaac Bruce for a 73-yard touchdown pass. Steve McNair did his best to lead his team downfield but the game ended when an outstretched Kevin Dyson landed just one yard short of a game-tying touchdown.

2) New York Giants 20, Buffalo Bills 19
January 21, 1991
Tampa Stadium, Tampa FL

With the country at war in the Persian Gulf and following a breathtaking rendition of the National Anthem by Whitney Houston, the two teams in their red, white and blue uniforms competed in one of the best games in the history of football. The Giants perfected the concept of ‘ball control’, possessing the ball for over 40 minutes. But the Bills had the lead late in the fourth quarter before a Matt Bahr field goal made it 20 to 19. Then, with just seconds remaining, Scott Norwood’s 47-yard field goal just missed to the right and the Giants won their second title.

1) New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14
February 4, 2008
University of Phoenix Stadium, Scottsdale, AZ
David Tyree’s miraculous 32-yard reception setup Eli Manning’s game-winning TD strike to Plaxico Burress to seal the deal for the Giants. The Patriots were denied the shot at being the first team ever to finish 19-0 and their Super Bowl loss forever tarnished their perfect regular season, the first of its kind since the Miami Dolphins finished with undefeated in 1972.

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2012 NFL Free Agents - Defense

27. January 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

2012 free agency opens on the afternoon of March 13. Here's a look at some of the top players on defense...

DEFENSIVE LINEMEN
*Calais Campbell
Mario Williams
Robert Mathis
*Sione Pouha
Jason Jones
Cliff Avril
John Abraham
Paul Soliai
Mark Anderson
Kendall Langford

LINEBACKERS
Curtis Lofton
Dan Connor
D'Qwell Jackson
David Hawthorne
Anthony Spencer
Stephen Tulloch
London Fletcher
Joe Mays
Ahmad Brooks
Jarret Johnson
Philip Wheeler
Quentin Groves
Jameel McClain
Manny Lawson
Jo-Lonn Dunbar
Leroy Hill
E.J. Henderson
Barrett Ruud


CORNERBACKS
Brent Grimes
*Cortland Finnegan
Brandon Carr
Carlos Rogers
Terrell Thomas
Rashean Mathis
Aaron Ross
Eric Wright
Richard Marshall
Tracy Porter
Marcus Trufant

SAFETIES
Tyvon Branch
LaRon Landry
Dashon Goldson
Michael Griffin
Dwight Lowery
Thomas DeCoud
Jim Leonhard
Brandon Meriweather
Reggie Smith
Sean Jones
Mike Adams
Chris Harris
Reggie Nelson

* = likely will be franchise tagged.

COMPLETE LIST (NFLTradeRumors.com)

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Super Bowl Brings Big Action

26. January 2012  - Published by Dan Clasgens

As always along with the Super Bowl comes some significant gambling. The Super Bowl is the most gambled-on sporting event in the United States, with more than $100 million wagered on the game in some years, according to FOXBusiness.com.

American Gaming Association data, complete through 2009, show that legal sports wagering in Nevada that year totaled $2.57 billion. However, that number isn’t even close to the actual total as it does not reflect the illegal wagers made elsewhere. The National Gambling Impact Study Commission estimates that illegal sports wagers amount to as much as $380 billion annually and no game brings more action that the Super Bowl.

The Patriots opened up as 3.5 point favorite for Super Bowl XLVI, but most casinos now have the line down to just 3 points. With a ton of early action already going on New York a couple of casinos have now dropped the line to 2.5.

Vegas could stand to take a beating if New York wins.  Several sports books took significant bets on the Giants to win the Super Bowl at odds as high as 80-1 (a $1 bet wins $800).
Prop bets were released on Thursday by Bovada.lv.

Fans have a chance to fire down on what color fluids get dumped on the head coach of the winning it all. Orange has 9-4 odds while just plain water has a 3-1 chance to be thrown on Bill Belichick's or Tom Coughlin's back.

Tom Brady has the best odds to win game MVP at 13-10 and there's a 4-1 chance that Wes Welker will score the Patriots' first touchdown. Odds are 5-2 that Kelly Clarkson will forget or leave out a word of the National Anthem while odds that Madonna will be wearing an NFL jersey at any point during the halftime show are also 5-2. The over/under of Clarkson's anthem is at 1:34 and there are even 3-1 odds on her showing her belly during it.

If this year's Super Bowl isn't enough for you to get excited about, the odds for next year's Super Bowl are already out. Suprisiningly its the Packers and Saints, neither of who will be playing in this year's contest, that are the early favorites.

Celebrities, who are not regular bettors typically, often throw big money and high stakes bets down. Birdman has gone public and said he is going to bet $5 million on the Patriots. While 50 Cent is taking the Giants and pledging to tweet a naked photo if the Pats win.

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