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Reds: Over/Unders

28. March 2008  - Published by Dan Clasgens
Comments (5)

On this week's Wire to Wire on GetSportsRadio.com my co-host Greg Shoemaker and myself made some Reds predictions with some pretty interesting prop-style bets. Here's our list, feel free to share your picks with us.

Total Wins –  81
MY PICK: Over

Ken Griffey Jr – 120 games
MY PICK: Under

Adam Dunn – 6 errors
MY PICK: Over

Brandon Phillips – 30 HR’s/30 SB’s
MY PICK: Under HR’s/Over Steals

Edwin Encarnacion – 90 RBI’s
MY PICK: Under

Joey Votto – 100 Games Started
MY PICK: Under

Jay Bruce – First Call-up of June 1st
MY PICK: Under (Before)

Aaron Harang – 200 strikeouts
MY PICK: Over

Bronson Arroyo – 14 wins
MY PICK: Under

Johnny Cueto – 3.75 ERA
MY PICK: Under

Homer Bailey –  First Call-up of June 1st
MY PICK: Over (After)

Francisco Cordero – 10 Blown Saves
MY PICK: Under

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Comments

Jimmy Dinsmore
Jimmy Dinsmore
3/28/2008 7:15:23 AM #
not sure how they can win over 81 games if their #2 starter doesn't at least win 14 games. For the record, I think the Reds win around 84-85 games and I think Votto gets more than 100 games for sure. Potential ROY, in my opinion.
Dan Clasgens
Dan Clasgens
3/28/2008 8:20:43 AM #
Jimmy, we need to look no further than last year's NL Central to get an example of a team that goes over 81 wins without the benefit of a 14-game winner. The 2007 Milwaukee Brewers won 83 games and did not have a single starting pitcher with more than 12 wins: Jeff Suppan, Dave Bush and Ben Sheets all had 12 wins each and Claudio Vargas finished the season with 11 victories. I look for Harang to win 16-18 games and am hopeful that both young arms (Cueto, Volquez) finish in double-digit wins. Arroyo is good for 12 wins in my mind as the Reds finish with 85 wins on the year!!!
Jim Humbert
Jim Humbert
3/28/2008 8:46:25 AM #
I was about to agree with Jimmy on the Arroyo win total, but you made a good point Dan. I'd rather have five guys in double digits than two with 15+.

I think Junior will play more than 120 games and he will be as much of a difference maker as Votto and Bruce.

Cueto may not be able to keep his ERA that low, but he could lead the team in strikeouts.
Adam Bartel
Adam Bartel
3/28/2008 10:50:30 AM #
I'll go with 78 wins, under 120 games for Griffey, under 30 HR/over 30 SB for Phillips, over 90 RBI's for Encarnacion, over 100 games started for Votto, Bruce call up after 6/1, Harang over 200 K's, Arroyo under 14 wins, Cueto over 3.75 ERA (I'll also go with less than 100 IP), Bailey call-up after 6/1, Cordero under 10 blown saves.
Jeremy Fischer
Jeremy Fischer
3/28/2008 11:23:01 AM #
Agree with most.  I'm taking the under on 200 K's for Harang.  Over the 3.75 ERA for Cueto.  I think it'll hover around 4.  He's young and will have at least 2 or 3 outings where he just gets crushed.  Happens to the best of young pitchers.

Bailey and Bruce after 6/1.  Especially Bruce.  If they wait until 6/1 the clock on his arbitration won't start until next year.  That's important to a medium market team like the Reds.
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