With five of the top six teams in the bracket losing last week, it was tough to make major changes. Last week I felt there were four definitive #1 seeds, and the rest were a step below. The #1 seeds have not changed, but there's a lot less distance between them and the field.
(1) Pittsburgh vs. play-in game winner (Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin)
(8) Florida vs. (9) UCLA
(5) Purdue vs. (12) Siena
(4) Florida State vs. (13) Davidson
(3) Duke vs. (14) North Dakota State
(6) Arizona vs. (11) Utah State
(7) Syracuse vs. (10) Minnesota
(2) Kansas vs. (15) Belmont
(1) North Carolina vs. (16) Radford
(8) West Virginia vs. (9) Ohio State
(5) Washington vs. (12) Creighton
(4) Gonzaga vs. (13) American
(3) Marquette vs. (14) Weber State
(6) Dayton vs. (11) Maryland
(7) Tennessee vs. (10) Texas A&M
(2) Memphis vs. (15) Robert Morris
(1) Connecticut vs. (16) Morgan State
(8) California vs. (9) UNLV
(5) Utah vs. (12) Michigan
(4) Wake Forest vs. (13) Virginia Commonwealth
(3) Villanova vs. (14) Vermont
(6) Xavier vs. (11) Kentucky
(7) Illinois vs. (10) San Diego State
(2) Missouri vs. (15) Cornell
(1) Oklahoma vs. (16) Long Beach State
(8) Butler vs. (9) Wisconsin
(5) Clemson vs. (12) Temple
(4) Arizona State vs. (13) Western Kentucky
(3) Michigan State vs. (14) Buffalo
(6) LSU vs. (11) Boston College
(7) Texas vs. (10) BYU
(2) Louisville vs. (15) Stephen F. Austin
LAST FOUR IN: Kentucky, Temple, Maryland, Michigan
LAST FOUR OUT: Penn State, South Carolina, UAB, Miami (Fla.)
A rash of losses pushed Memphis, Missouri, and Louisville into #2 seed slots. Memphis is the most likely to sneak onto the top line, since Louisville still has a couple potential stumbling blocks before the Big East tournament. Don't count out the Tigers though, who are quickly becoming the team no one wants to have to play.
Arizona State and Florida State are quietly creeping up the board, making it to the #4 seed line this week. The Sun Devils in particular loom as a dark horse Final Four pick, with their strong defense as well as standout SG James Harden.
Because of all the teams losing around them, Xavier's cold streak isn't going to kill them too badly. It's going to be very tough for them to crack the top four again though.
Butler pretty much saved their season yesterday. Had they lost to Davidson, they likely would have fallen to strictly automatic qualifier status. They can't afford to slip up again before the conference tournament.
Ohio State needs to get focused, as the season could really unravel over the next couple weeks (vs. Illinois & Penn State, at Purdue).
Kentucky looks like they're going to continue riding the roller coaster. I would hope this week would tell us more about them, but in all likelihood they'll split their games with South Carolina and LSU, and we'll be right back here next week.